Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61681146f6dd5a543fd7bb0ead3374e42e5bc26e38bea3e742f46e1117ddcd7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Li | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.8 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Gauff | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Gauff | 53c | 939.97$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.79 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Gauff | 36c | 848.06$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.76 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Gauff | 65c | 615.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Li | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gauff | 36c | 525$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Li | 35c | 340$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Gauff | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Li | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Li | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Gauff | 36c | 161.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gauff | 36c | 149.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gauff | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Gauff | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Li | 47c | 131.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Gauff | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gauff | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gauff | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Li | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Li | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Li | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Li | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gauff | 37c | 84.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gauff | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Li | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Li | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…a106backed Gauff | 28c | 60.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gauff | 63c | 58.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Li | 36c | 53.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Gauff | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Li | 35c | 44.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Gauff | 36c | 44.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…0a19backed Gauff | 65c | 38.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Li | 34c | 37.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Gauff | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Li | 35c | 33.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Gauff | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Gauff | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Gauff | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann LiCoco Gauff won
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs LiGauff won
- Set 2 Winner: Gauff vs LiGauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.