Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc06e27b49dd82434ce4fe20c88d370b6a4c8f0e03852ee3ac8e2e39c31c4f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 4,373$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.84 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 34c | 2,743$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.84 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 1,702$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.8 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked No | 44c | 1,457$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 10c | 1,400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 57c | 1,348$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.1 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 1,045$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.68 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 850.16$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked No | 65c | 792.16$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…00fcbacked Yes | 65c | 787.73$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 55c | 782.98$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.64 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 53c | 420$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 26c | 407.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 379.78$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d7e5backed Yes | 27c | 370.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Yes | 25c | 306.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 25c | 288$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 211.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…b171backed Yes | 53c | 188.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 27c | 188.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 185.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 68c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 99.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked No | 42c | 99.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 28c | 87.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 85.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Yes | 27c | 80.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 43c | 80.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 78c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…c14cbacked Yes | 53c | 71.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 47c | 70.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 22c | 58.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 58.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 45.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 47c | 39.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Yes | 39c | 38.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 29.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 73c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Yes | 50c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 55c | 20.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.