TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No55c12,246$6,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.5446644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes50c7,660$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.5213933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c4,826$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.2198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No14c4,257$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.79431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No20c3,225$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Yes52c2,792$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes49c2,670$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.6612055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes39c2,315$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6414060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes36c2,077$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.451855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c2,011$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No49c2,000$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c1,766$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.0423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes21c1,200$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes48c1,036$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+118.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Yes60c999.98$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No63c819.46$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.263773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes52c726.92$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3785250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes53c698.41$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes38c529.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c517.81$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.275933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes50c506.89$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0614843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c412.06$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae4d…254ebacked No13c371.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.121181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+112.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No50c349.61$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes80c339.11$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes50c316.1$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1583259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c311.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4333444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1416746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked No12c285$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.964667.4%31 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+90.8%equal weight71+0.18 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes69c260$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.63050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0931…8dccbacked Yes20c220$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes43c211.04$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.32931%9 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed No52c199.04$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.48922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No51c194.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.596162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes54c184.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.22040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc135…6563backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c181.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0916865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No34c175.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.824650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No52c167.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.237549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No22c165.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No72c159$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.142152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes26c153.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No50c144.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.253540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes49c140.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.766471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No27c130$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+69.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed No16c125.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.751533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Yes35c112.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x359d…1210backed Yes16c109.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed No49c108.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No49c105.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.063574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes48c104.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No66c103.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.491580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes64c102.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.473878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+94.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea4…a46fbacked Yes50c100.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c95.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No25c95.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1730536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes51c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes41c92.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes37c91.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x550c…3eb2backed Yes21c79.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes14c78.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes63c72.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No53c71.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0132453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed No47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No28c60.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.821957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed No80c50.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6e…54cfbacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes23c45.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9d…dd29backed Yes39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes50c39.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5130055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.866955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d94…bceebacked No52c37.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d9…086abacked Yes49c37.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee5…d8acbacked Yes49c35.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…5f2ebacked No52c35.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d77…9dd7backed No55c32.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+82.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c99…ff4fbacked Yes53c31.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No65c30.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ad…fcb7backed Yes76c30.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc124…dc8cbacked Yes48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed No38c27.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.