Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bfac4627b3063cf08f1a7a45fd7b0e2c2d873c5f66280fa181b380750fc892c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 7,533$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.7 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 5,841$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 42c | 5,833$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.37 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 32c | 5,670$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 3,610$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.28 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 37c | 2,400$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 2,265$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 36c | 2,178$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.37 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 35c | 2,003$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.91 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 1,822$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.5 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 1,715$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.62 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,711$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,649$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.9 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 68c | 1,564$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 988$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.06 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 27c | 796.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 39c | 670$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 38c | 526.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 66c | 374.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked No | 38c | 340$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 69c | 336.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 39c | 300.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 39c | 286$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 60c | 249.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 237.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 30c | 197.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 35c | 187$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 177.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 33c | 155.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 42c | 149.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 32c | 133$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 62c | 130.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 74c | 114.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 41c | 110.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 34c | 101.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 25c | 97.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Yes | 61c | 93.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…1a69backed Yes | 64c | 89.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 67c | 84.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 79.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 35c | 54.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 51.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 64c | 48.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 69c | 43.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 41c | 36.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…e42fbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…3ae2backed Yes | 61c | 32.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 34c | 31.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 76c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 65c | 19.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed Yes | 62c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.