Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7266bf9f5fd31d6af1f58cbb248fb535c7f05225e969b95aaa07cd54eea7c9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,230$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 24c | 1,020$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 869.27$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 22c | 459.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 279.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 80c | 228.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 9c | 127.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 22c | 102.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.