Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63174b168ac1a7576c844cfd0544ceea7cfab49cb5fa19a8e8399e670aef6df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 3,261$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 64c | 1,651$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 900.67$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.58 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Over | 62c | 876.89$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 36c | 649.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 35c | 510.84$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 38c | 479.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 61c | 440.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 54c | 437.54$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Over | 65c | 401.63$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…3b60backed Over | 63c | 398.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 322.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 305.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Over | 66c | 227.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 165.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 139.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 36c | 72.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…ace1backed Over | 63c | 63.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 61c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Under | 37c | 40.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 38.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 29.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…922abacked Under | 39c | 27.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Over | 64c | 26.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…4141backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.