Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6b3ee709aae06d96a6893100f3b3ae6e4a6b774a83dc6808fbf9d82d728782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 65c | 23,631$15,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,457.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 17,735$6,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,495.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 8,215$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 50c | 3,296$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.23 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 52c | 2,027$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,865$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Under | 60c | 1,107$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…837cbacked Under | 69c | 522.44$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 35c | 379.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 28c | 364.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.71 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 296.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 38c | 181$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 56c | 173.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Under | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Over | 35c | 133.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…afe5backed Under | 76c | 131.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5906…c04cbacked Under | 14c | 131.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 35c | 129.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…0cacbacked Under | 63c | 118.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 55c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under | 60c | 86.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 36c | 78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Under | 68c | 60.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…ee4abacked Over | 38c | 60.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 35c | 59.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked Over | 35c | 59.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 52c | 56.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 21c | 50.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Under | 62c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673b…93f0backed Over | 45c | 39.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Under | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73a…ec04backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…a6b5backed Over | 64c | 31.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 36c | 29.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…922abacked Over | 41c | 24.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Under | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Over | 48c | 22.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…512abacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 66c | 19.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.