Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Andrea Pellegrino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63286fcbe2b0aff6765329e2bafecf8d1b6eb57630e8a111ad50ec2f277bb9ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colton Smithof Colton Smith, Andrea Pellegrino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Pellegrino | 40c | 17,612$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Colton Smith | 70c | 10,588$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.84 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 9,353$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.59 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Colton Smith | 54c | 8,626$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colton Smith | 53c | 5,899$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.53 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Pellegrino | 54c | 3,392$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Colton Smith | 58c | 2,724$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.14 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Colton Smith | 44c | 1,793$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.22 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Colton Smith | 61c | 1,529$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.53 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Andrea Pellegrino | 5c | 1,409$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andrea Pellegrino | 41c | 1,313$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.91 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Andrea Pellegrino | 28c | 1,057$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Pellegrino | 39c | 1,012$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…cf12backed Colton Smith | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 38c | 993.04$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.56 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Colton Smith | 38c | 850$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Colton Smith | 60c | 837.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.93 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Colton Smith | 66c | 816.49$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Colton Smith | 62c | 810.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.73 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 747.52$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.17 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Andrea Pellegrino | 42c | 723.86$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.54 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked Colton Smith | 69c | 660$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colton Smith | 65c | 658.82$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Andrea Pellegrino | 56c | 637.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.57 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Colton Smith | 66c | 479.7$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Andrea Pellegrino | 33c | 474.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Colton Smith | 47c | 452.73$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 10c | 428.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 401.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Colton Smith | 47c | 399.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 4c | 391.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…0242backed Colton Smith | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Andrea Pellegrino | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Andrea Pellegrino | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colton Smith | 58c | 296.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colton Smith | 65c | 295.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 267.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…37d2backed Andrea Pellegrino | 30c | 257.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Andrea Pellegrino | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 229.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Colton Smith | 66c | 218.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Colton Smith | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed Andrea Pellegrino | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Colton Smith | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Colton Smith | 57c | 185.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Colton Smith | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 150 | 39.3%59 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colton Smith | 54c | 173.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Colton Smith | 67c | 135.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Colton Smith | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…bf08backed Andrea Pellegrino | 39c | 123.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 10c | 119.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Andrea Pellegrino | 12c | 112.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Colton Smith | 68c | 107.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 42c | 104.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Colton Smith | 72c | 102.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 100.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Andrea Pellegrino | 56c | 86.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 42c | 77.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Andrea Pellegrino | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Andrea Pellegrino | 40c | 69.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Colton Smith | 59c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…7ef2backed Andrea Pellegrino | 61c | 61.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Colton Smith | 53c | 60.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andrea Pellegrino | 33c | 60.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed Colton Smith | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Andrea Pellegrino | 33c | 59.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Colton Smith | 53c | 58.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Andrea Pellegrino | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Colton Smith | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 45.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Colton Smith | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Colton Smith | 67c | 39.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Colton Smith | 60c | 36.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Colton Smith | 60c | 34.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Colton Smith | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Andrea Pellegrino | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Colton Smith | 80c | 26.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Colton Smith | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Colton Smith | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Colton Smith | 67c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Colton Smith | 70c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Colton Smith | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 103 | 95.1%98 W · 5 L | +25.4wins | +0.25per pick | 70cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Andrea Pellegrino | 58c | 19.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Colton Smith | 66c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Colton Smith | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Andrea Pellegrinothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Smith vs PellegrinoPellegrino won
- Set Handicap: Smith (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)Pellegrino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.