College Football · resolved market
Louisiana Tech vs. Washington State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9969d68a1a36697fb6e640f77cfca218607b59d1f7c93a030acbfc788bb45f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Stateof Louisiana Tech, Washington State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Louisiana Tech | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Washington State | 74c | 11,126$8,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.67 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Louisiana Tech | 25c | 10,226$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.43 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Washington State | 74c | 10,107$7,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.82 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Washington State | 75c | 8,133$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.33 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Washington State | 77c | 5,393$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.33 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington State | 74c | 5,322$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Washington State | 76c | 5,031$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Louisiana Tech | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Washington State | 75c | 4,100$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington State | 77c | 3,917$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.29 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Louisiana Tech | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Washington State | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…5be9backed Louisiana Tech | 5c | 2,430$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Louisiana Tech | 26c | 1,800$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.39 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana Tech | 3c | 1,724$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Washington State | 75c | 1,620$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.85 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana Tech | 3c | 1,612$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Louisiana Tech | 5c | 1,551$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Louisiana Tech | 10c | 1,494$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Louisiana Tech | 7c | 1,454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Washington State | 74c | 1,361$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.36 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Washington State | 73c | 1,303$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.87 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Louisiana Tech | 23c | 1,288$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Louisiana Tech | 25c | 1,068$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana Tech | 5c | 924.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Louisiana Tech | 7c | 917.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana Tech | 5c | 659$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Washington State | 76c | 545$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Louisiana Tech | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Washington State | 74c | 439$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Louisiana Tech | 12c | 419.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Washington State | 78c | 386.33$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana Tech | 22c | 370.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisiana Tech | 5c | 307.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…5ff4backed Louisiana Tech | 15c | 256.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Louisiana Tech | 26c | 206.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Louisiana Tech | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Louisiana Tech | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Washington State | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Washington State | 77c | 114.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana Tech | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Louisiana Tech | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Louisiana Tech | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed Louisiana Tech | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad4…9484backed Louisiana Tech | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Louisiana Tech | 26c | 80.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Washington State | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Louisiana Tech | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Louisiana Tech | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Washington State | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…bb3ebacked Louisiana Tech | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…8806backed Washington State | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ad…0a36backed Louisiana Tech | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…2b56backed Washington State | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Washington State | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…7e84backed Washington State | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Washington State | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5b55backed Washington State | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…c01abacked Washington State | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…dc0dbacked Washington State | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…88fbbacked Washington State | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…ee02backed Washington State | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…fd62backed Washington State | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Washington State | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana Tech vs. Washington Statethis page
- Louisiana Tech vs. Washington State: O/U 43.5Under won
- Louisiana Tech vs. Washington State: O/U 44.5Under won
- Louisiana Tech vs. Washington State: O/U 45.5Under won
- Louisiana Tech vs. Washington State: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Washington State (-10.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-6.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-7.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-8.5)Washington State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.