Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd03183517db9d4b3e89eb7b2c74f2e3e69d6dba7b2cfa71b605bfc9124e4f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof BC Dubai, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a4…98eabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 36c | 5,400$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC Dubai | 45c | 3,899$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.66 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 2,167$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed BC Dubai | 56c | 1,700$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 25c | 1,579$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.42 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked BC Dubai | 68c | 1,473$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 44c | 1,455$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.59 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BC Dubai | 65c | 1,420$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.49 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BC Dubai | 53c | 1,272$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.73 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 1,004$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.28 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed BC Dubai | 71c | 1,000$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed BC Dubai | 52c | 925.88$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 776.39$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.57 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed BC Dubai | 40c | 742.53$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 654.91$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 599$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.57 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 67c | 594.61$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.55 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed BC Dubai | 64c | 567.12$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed BC Dubai | 69c | 432.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 411.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed FC Bayern Munchen | 78c | 312.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked BC Dubai | 64c | 295.71$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…2983backed FC Bayern Munchen | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 277.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed BC Dubai | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked BC Dubai | 64c | 172.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 147$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked BC Dubai | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed FC Bayern Munchen | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked BC Dubai | 64c | 129.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked BC Dubai | 57c | 126.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked BC Dubai | 59c | 120.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed BC Dubai | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BC Dubai | 66c | 95.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed BC Dubai | 68c | 88.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed BC Dubai | 22c | 88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked BC Dubai | 24c | 84.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 72.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 70.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked BC Dubai | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 60.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed BC Dubai | 64c | 49.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 47.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BC Dubai | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed BC Dubai | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked BC Dubai | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 25.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed BC Dubai | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…4f76backed BC Dubai | 68c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.