College Football · resolved market
Will Texas A&M win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42afa0276a7cbf13c24a0342c91cb28a2f7e64d8f9dbe2ad74ad2747264a7108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,069$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 207$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 72c | 158$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed No | 68c | 147.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…e967backed Yes | 37c | 108.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 33c | 80.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 14c | 77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…6eb3backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?this page
- Will Alabama win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?No won
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?No won
- Will Vanderbilt win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.