TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked No79c19,753$15,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,596.846566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes21c14,579$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,525.189459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes26c5,892$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.078243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c4,254$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,756.764,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No73c3,946$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.7612648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c3,017$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.17777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c3,002$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.5230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes22c2,552$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.614141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No13c2,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.369557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c1,255$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.333,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes75c1,160$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.9929038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.485125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes26c978.12$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.124540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No37c838.47$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.953435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes29c837.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.6923762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed No4c749.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.992015%3 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No72c636$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes40c611.62$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1721842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c550$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40735054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes23c434.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes22c363.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes66c349.89$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.896845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c333$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c330$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No10c328.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.911336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes78c265.09$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0919652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Yes26c229$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.462740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No70c220$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15421849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c220$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes25c203.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4326242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked No6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No74c192$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0817648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c192$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No76c192$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9212951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c184.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde1…dfc0backed Yes14c178$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+343.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes25c163.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.344334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked No34c148.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes25c147.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.412437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No73c146.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8320652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.68159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No75c132.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.362955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec1…f195backed Yes23c128.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+102.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes24c123$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No70c120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.49945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.411346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed No74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes25c99.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.494346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Yes24c95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.21650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes24c91.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6714333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked No32c91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c17…ee47backed No77c90.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes24c84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.844334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.337843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.336933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Yes24c73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes23c69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.133548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No65c60.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Yes25c57.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.141435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Yes24c56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No70c55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.519153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No70c55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.521151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes24c55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+60.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No74c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.75743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No66c52.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.743461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Yes24c52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.521833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3932645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3811249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked No74c49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed No74c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed No77c44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.881250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed No74c43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No75c42.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes26c41.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.884936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfca6…9553backed No74c41.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked No76c41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.161070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x342e…8f17backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+96.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed No74c37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.381250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd965…7abfbacked No33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked No76c34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed No76c34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed No76c33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No46c32.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked No77c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed No76c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed No76c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed No74c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No70c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.919751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f1…0451backed No77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.