Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ef4cd20fa6c90a5af9be439e1fb24f39b10c5dd0d8cc3926421370e93430b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraska Cornhuskersof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 73c | 6,900$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 27c | 6,524$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.52 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 18c | 4,427$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.47 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 16c | 3,050$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 68c | 2,986$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 32c | 1,999$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.18 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 17c | 1,413$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.53 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 1,009$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.92 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 46c | 854.13$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 62c | 770.19$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 17c | 757$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.95 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 64c | 715.63$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 45c | 538.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…7029backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 30c | 496.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 25c | 368.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 31c | 326.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…244ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 32c | 266.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 27c | 255.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 251.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 33c | 240.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 232.62$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 228.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 22c | 161.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 154.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 148.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 12c | 142.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…edbfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 37c | 139.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 73c | 123.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 33c | 122.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 70c | 113.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…e739backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…a297backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a9a2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 18c | 86.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 29c | 54.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 30c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 26c | 48.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…5e4dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 63c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 61c | 16.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinithis page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 154.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 155.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 156.5Over won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-9.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.