Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd87f3ec9e5075e20b8a0d577f7314b5d5f237bf66618f420ab62836c5cd50e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1be…5306backed Yes | 0c | 20,060$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 8,798$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…3c9bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,964$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…3b5abacked Yes | 0c | 5,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 69c | 1,506$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…1075backed Yes | 38c | 1,281$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 6c | 1,209$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 1c | 1,086$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,031$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 5c | 770.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…d8cdbacked Yes | 43c | 510.84$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 472.05$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 13c | 453.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 6c | 416$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 13c | 409.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 19c | 387.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 3c | 386.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 73c | 344.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 304.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed Yes | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…cb37backed Yes | 37c | 284.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 25c | 252$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…f9d9backed Yes | 28c | 249.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 57c | 219.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 34c | 205.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 40c | 194.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 80c | 186.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 35c | 160.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 156.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 62c | 155.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 71c | 154.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 31c | 148.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 42c | 148$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 68c | 145.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…e9cebacked No | 58c | 137.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 134.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 32c | 130.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 40c | 126.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 64c | 123.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 119.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea6…abc0backed Yes | 34c | 107.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 47c | 103.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 29c | 101.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 87.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 32c | 83.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 83.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 15c | 81.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 15c | 79.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 31c | 75.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 34c | 72.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 72.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 33c | 64.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 63.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 62.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 40c | 53.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 71c | 52.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 39c | 52.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 71c | 51.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c532backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed No | 71c | 49.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 61c | 45.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked No | 68c | 44.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…605abacked No | 69c | 42.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…bfeabacked Yes | 34c | 41.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed Yes | 40c | 41.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 39.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 36.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 39c | 35.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 32c | 34.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 61c | 33.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 76c | 32.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 41c | 29.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…474cbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 61c | 26.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 39c | 25.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…d09cbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 43c | 23.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…92c3backed No | 70c | 23.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 68c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.