Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7290fbd1a09a71775d9f7cb269e024e6c282a5fefafb3bd89b43c2ba430534f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb63b…d7f2backed Yes | 0c | 24,074$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…3c9bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,214$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…4efcbacked Yes | 31c | 2,240$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 31c | 2,044$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.95 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 67c | 1,752$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.41 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,519$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.45 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 1c | 1,093$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…3620backed Yes | 32c | 1,007$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 70c | 896.34$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 800.11$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.86 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…e9cebacked Yes | 24c | 542.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 69c | 520.81$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 65c | 483.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 28c | 438.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…cb37backed Yes | 23c | 375$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 312.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 70c | 306$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 68c | 302.77$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 69c | 299$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 71c | 298.87$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 15c | 253$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 38c | 243.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 64c | 231.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 28c | 231.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…aef4backed Yes | 35c | 219.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 68c | 213.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 31c | 201.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 196$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 35c | 194.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 189.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 24c | 174.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 157.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 8c | 155$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 32c | 148.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 145.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 143.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 35c | 134.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 34c | 133.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Yes | 36c | 132.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…0bcebacked Yes | 30c | 126$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 121.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 65c | 121.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 67c | 121.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 120.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 65c | 116.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 69c | 105.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 17c | 102.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 62c | 101.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 100.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 69c | 100.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 19c | 91.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 64c | 87.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 83.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 81.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…f288backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 68.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 26c | 68.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…81a3backed Yes | 33c | 64.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 70c | 56.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 55.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 24c | 52.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 69c | 52.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 41c | 47.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…e7dcbacked Yes | 31c | 46.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 27c | 44.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes | 32c | 42.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 70c | 42.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…9ffcbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 32c | 39.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 73c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…d262backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.