Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5635b164c90dd8193e63233097f1bfac4cbf30c7196613c57ab516c56d5fd00d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 62c | 894.33$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.06 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 8c | 477.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 37c | 464.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 37c | 430$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 13c | 339.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b2…9131backed No | 36c | 307.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 20c | 300.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…1cbebacked No | 36c | 285$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 276.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 273.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 75c | 246.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 39c | 218.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 40c | 211.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 38c | 204.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 42c | 192.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 24c | 190.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 185.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 58c | 180.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 60c | 154$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 77c | 152.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed No | 11c | 128.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 38c | 111.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 57c | 105.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 45c | 99.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 51c | 96.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 15c | 87.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 83.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed No | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 50c | 71.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 43c | 64.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 62.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 62c | 60.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 50c | 59.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 50c | 58.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 59c | 58.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 53c | 58.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 38c | 56.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…4e75backed No | 27c | 55.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 31c | 55.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 45c | 53.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 79c | 52.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 36c | 49.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 35c | 46.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 37c | 46.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 44.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 51c | 44.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 30c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…d930backed Yes | 69c | 42.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 44c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 52c | 41.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…2c35backed Yes | 60c | 39.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…4501backed No | 38c | 38.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…ba52backed Yes | 65c | 38.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…9a0dbacked No | 37c | 34.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…312dbacked Yes | 65c | 34.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 65c | 34.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed No | 58c | 33.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…0370backed Yes | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed Yes | 63c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 64c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 46c | 29.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…105fbacked Yes | 70c | 25.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed Yes | 63c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 46c | 24.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…be97backed Yes | 62c | 24.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…efdfbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 63c | 19.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…b443backed Yes | 70c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes | 67c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa13…7836backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.