Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d69d223ec2277a978ffbacec2c1cb56ff181c711e8de2534c3d1759a881f164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 63c | 2,341$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.29 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 1,826$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d8…0a12backed No | 77c | 1,305$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 75c | 1,285$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…13f4backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 2c | 826.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 31c | 654.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 73c | 499.8$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 76c | 464.91$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 71c | 462.35$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 19c | 393.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…00e4backed Yes | 37c | 351$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 308.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 31c | 300.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 29c | 289.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b2…9131backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 263.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 233.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 232.42$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 231.13$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 30c | 209.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 203.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 70c | 200.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked Yes | 6c | 198.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 175 | 11.4%20 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 37c | 185.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 15c | 183.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…39c2backed Yes | 18c | 182.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 32c | 177.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 33c | 175.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked No | 69c | 166.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 165.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 163.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 32c | 138.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 16c | 128.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 34c | 114.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 17c | 109.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 29c | 109.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 11c | 107.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0acf…edf9backed Yes | 13c | 105.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked Yes | 35c | 104.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…394dbacked No | 72c | 100.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 36c | 95.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 29c | 86.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…b2eebacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 25c | 81.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…9719backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 31c | 67.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 59.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 17c | 58.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 54.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 78c | 52.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 63c | 50.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…fababacked Yes | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 34c | 46.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 34c | 44.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…1dd9backed No | 67c | 44.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 66c | 42.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 37.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 79c | 35.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…4e33backed No | 67c | 35.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 34.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 79c | 33.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…ab84backed Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…0f96backed No | 68c | 32.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 30.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 29.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 79c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 66c | 22.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 71c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…8ba1backed No | 70c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.