Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bb95256da72b4d839c740f34e99a972824b964deeb6762e0b99fc0b9efe61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 41c | 1,099$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.31 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 37c | 753.76$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 67c | 651.49$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 42c | 585.1$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 496$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 455.6$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 370.51$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 21c | 363.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 60c | 338.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 8c | 251.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 51c | 240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 239.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 233.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 43c | 215$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 205$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 34c | 200.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 59c | 197.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked Yes | 58c | 192.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…0e6dbacked No | 34c | 189.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 65c | 188.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 187.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 184$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 175$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed Yes | 12c | 174.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 43c | 172$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 60c | 169.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 159.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…1485backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 38c | 146.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 12c | 140.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 19c | 128.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…3307backed Yes | 64c | 120.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 33c | 119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Yes | 17c | 115.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 68c | 98.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7804backed No | 52c | 94.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 91.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 62c | 87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 17c | 78.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 33c | 77.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…520bbacked Yes | 42c | 76.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 38c | 70.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 68c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 66.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…dc55backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…8346backed Yes | 42c | 55.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 60c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 53.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 58c | 48.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 47.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 39c | 45.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 68c | 41.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 60c | 40.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…5839backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed No | 60c | 39.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 36c | 35.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 52c | 34.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 35c | 34.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 61c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…6120backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 41c | 28.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…f3cebacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…b027backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…1327backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…3204backed Yes | 66c | 21.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 20.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…e863backed No | 64c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…dcfebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…df40backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed No | 66c | 19.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 55c | 19.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 60c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 318 | 66%210 W · 108 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 66c | 17.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 68c | 15.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 78c | 14.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.