Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee3852c76ee8741269978e5ae3cba1dc04e1f100be2f3c4714f833e7d42aaa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 22c | 664.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 76c | 648.74$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.05 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 8c | 394.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 281$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 29c | 274.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 274.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed Yes | 8c | 272.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 8c | 237.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 221.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 207.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 25c | 204.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…fa82backed Yes | 6c | 197.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 183.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 24c | 167.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 155.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 149.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 64c | 141$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 21c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 126.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 123.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 11c | 111.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 98.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 21c | 98.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 26c | 97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 26c | 94.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 36c | 86.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…7baebacked Yes | 14c | 77.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 23c | 75.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 77c | 67.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 65.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed No | 77c | 64.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 67c | 63.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 61.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 77c | 59.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 30c | 57.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 28c | 54.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 47.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 27c | 46.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 25c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 66c | 46.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 63c | 45.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 26c | 44.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 30c | 42.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 63c | 42.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 75c | 41.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 70c | 40.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 40.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…2caebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 229 | 37.1%85 W · 144 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 72c | 37.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 32.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 69c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 65c | 27.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…9ac2backed No | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 72c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 77c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…63b6backed No | 65c | 23.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked No | 76c | 22.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…7e42backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 110 | 68.2%75 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…a50cbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 67c | 15.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.