TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes12c2,948$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.68742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd46…4c7dbacked No45c1,221$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c1…0e00backed Yes54c788.96$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No41c538.16$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.167317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes55c510$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c341.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.981,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429850%49 W · 49 L+16.1wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+40.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes61c300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.510344.7%46 W · 57 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2415…c70bbacked No44c284.3$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes61c275$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.321030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No37c254.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5845723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b4…fc14backed Yes55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes61c194.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.254839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No77c188.35$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6118762.6%117 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e61…5a25backed Yes55c181.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+74.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes26c176.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.573444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e36…ddfabacked No53c168$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No51c163.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2824637.4%92 W · 154 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes61c160.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1418445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No52c159.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8635258%204 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No73c138$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.262157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes24c134.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8114637%54 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f2…9bf5backed Yes48c125.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes61c114.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6227143.5%118 W · 153 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e8e…5b53backed No40c104.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…bad4backed Yes56c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…980cbacked Yes38c98.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No67c97.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7136055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes53c88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5446330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…67dbbacked No39c85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+205%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No40c84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.726355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…0fe1backed No45c78.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bef…3b06backed Yes60c76.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecb…4c3abacked No38c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes54c71.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7588448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5211…6cd3backed Yes61c69.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No40c68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No40c65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No60c64.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.089656.3%54 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes61c64.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes26c63.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7499017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x0f66…15f9backed Yes61c63.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82cd…d7d8backed Yes23c63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c96…451abacked Yes61c62.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes76c60.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3531635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No70c59.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.824654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed No52c56.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.875853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed Yes61c53.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.938959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ba…ca40backed Yes61c53.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes45c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9519623%45 W · 151 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed No73c50.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46847.1%32 W · 36 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135552.7%29 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bae…5d34backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.052653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x509d…0799backed Yes65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26e…cf82backed Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd687…bbb3backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Yes26c49.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No42c46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5628558.9%168 W · 117 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf4…ba60backed No44c45.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e1…594cbacked No75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes51c41.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.910542.9%45 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes58c40.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6111161.3%68 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a0…f9c2backed No41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d8…a8cebacked No47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b0…dcdebacked No38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f92…d732backed Yes65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c39.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.422355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c1…452fbacked No39c37.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No39c36.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.253369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.15853.4%31 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x308f…8607backed No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…64a4backed No74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b0…05a6backed No38c30.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+101.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52560%15 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7761…f504backed Yes64c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes57c20.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.782445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes55c20.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.38643%37 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x905d…2c17backed Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-73.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbff…f90bbacked Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3406…6ce0backed Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63e0…4ca5backed Yes57c18.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No78c16.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.478854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf05…33e2backed No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…0bc6backed No75c13.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa274…0f58backed No75c13.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x759e…cbbbbacked No75c13.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…a6a6backed No75c13.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.