World Politics · resolved market
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc76f09c637c421ac812bfa7df0aa0c83dda264aece5fa90f67e74580a9b6e69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5c1…0e00backed Yes | 46c | 627.32$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 72c | 536.49$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 19c | 512$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.73 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…27c6backed Yes | 12c | 494.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +739.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 11c | 281$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 249.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 21c | 222.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 72c | 200.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…0359backed Yes | 29c | 169.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 162$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 159.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 54c | 153.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 149.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…e0a2backed Yes | 34c | 148.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 57c | 143$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d3…5bdfbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 28c | 137.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 27c | 133.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 16c | 128.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…980cbacked No | 71c | 122.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 56c | 108.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…67dbbacked Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +205%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 94.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…0d58backed No | 52c | 92.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 22c | 86.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 12c | 85.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 28c | 70.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…5a2abacked No | 17c | 69.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 28c | 69.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 40c | 67.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 52c | 66.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Yes | 73c | 63.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 79cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 79c | 52.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 50.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…140abacked No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 31c | 44.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…22c7backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…bbb3backed No | 51c | 35.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 74c | 34.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 53c | 33.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed No | 39c | 33.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Yes | 75c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 30.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 38c | 26.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…a963backed No | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…b2d0backed Yes | 72c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 72c | 22.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 19.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 74c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 73c | 15.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…7634backed Yes | 76c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…4348backed Yes | 74c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?this page
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 4.5%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.