Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf28d12a36000c5279c51b1d78aaf0f7b16158f27d6996769ec63a635f61e715e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 930.25$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.83 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 25c | 522$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Yes | 59c | 334$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 270.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 34c | 219$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…0731backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 39c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 70c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 69.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 70c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7b0cbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 37.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 70c | 23.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico vs. Uruguay end in a draw?this page
- Will Mexico win on 2025-11-15?No won
- Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.