Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13965dbb0da524bd6037aa130420eddef41879d4d48c5ea4f5ac5087a3a6bcee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 61c | 40,099$24,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,638.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 4,702$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.94 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 2,865$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…49d4backed Yes | 38c | 890$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 38c | 799.71$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 38c | 404.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 61c | 388$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 318.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 62c | 315.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 298.94$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 61c | 269.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 65c | 259.61$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…d560backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 206.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 63c | 203.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Yes | 10c | 154.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 142.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Yes | 37c | 135.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 57c | 126.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 62c | 122$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 62c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 62c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 34c | 84.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 62c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked No | 64c | 69.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 62c | 63.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 65c | 59.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 62c | 57.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 62c | 56.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 64c | 54.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…3934backed No | 65c | 52.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd440…3e3cbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 36c | 45.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 64c | 43.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…5bb2backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 38c | 39.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…bf63backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 62c | 39.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7b0cbacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 65c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will Mexico vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mexico win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.