La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal vs. Mallorca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e27c4999c2765a1a03c2cad8d939d7930d6e1307562fc51084351f7ed03ff53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 31,692$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.12 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,519$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.09 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 2,343$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.72 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 1,853$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.78 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 20c | 1,690$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 1,173$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 10c | 807.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 44c | 650.36$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 18c | 490.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 19c | 400.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 60c | 389.91$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 13c | 361.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 46c | 323.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 7c | 245.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 52c | 224.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 20c | 203.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 40c | 200.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 12c | 108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…afe9backed No | 48c | 84.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 59.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 79c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal vs. Mallorca end in a draw?this page
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.