Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117c2748c911cae7b8b9307b9fc07923a0b1d374f6fdb65ad6ac3f75bb4141d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bc8…f140backed No | 67c | 688.04$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 461.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 27c | 411.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 37c | 400.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.54 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 63c | 398.1$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 383.45$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.05 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 49c | 381.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.41 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 315.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 9c | 281.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 68c | 265.28$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 258.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 21c | 252.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 58c | 239.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 229.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 42c | 187.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…7722backed Yes | 39c | 186.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 181.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 65c | 178.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 60c | 176.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 23c | 168.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 43c | 149.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 144.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 35c | 138.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked No | 54c | 129.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 125.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 32c | 121.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 36c | 117$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 40c | 115.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 109.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 45c | 103.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 12c | 93.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 61c | 88.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…b109backed No | 38c | 86.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 82.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 76c | 68.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 49c | 67.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 57c | 65.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 30c | 55.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…e06fbacked No | 68c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed No | 77c | 49.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…150fbacked Yes | 41c | 44.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 65c | 42.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 68c | 42.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 52c | 42.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 38c | 41.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 51c | 40.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 39.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 39.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 62c | 37.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 60c | 37.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 48c | 32.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 69c | 31.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Yes | 40c | 29.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 62c | 28.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 60c | 27.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 45c | 22.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 55c | 21.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…0f87backed No | 61c | 18.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…3007backed No | 62c | 17.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 59c | 17.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…c4cebacked No | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…437ebacked No | 77c | 13.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.