MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da2c687bca4486a0c52249ae35ccb1944654dd9baad0c3e7ccb712f292cb054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 53c | 243,441$130,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,440.48 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,999.93 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals | 46c | 64,917$29,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,951.73 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 49,696$23,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,356.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Reds | 53c | 42,642$22,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,041.5 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 31,633$14,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,486.36 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 45c | 25,355$11,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,442.05 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Reds | 53c | 21,300$11,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,011 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Reds | 53c | 21,137$11,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,922.93 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Reds | 53c | 20,437$10,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,665.38 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 17,981$8,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,271.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 55c | 13,931$7,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.66 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 24c | 7,652$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 46c | 6,293$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.73 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cardinals | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Reds | 50c | 4,040$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cardinals | 47c | 4,037$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.05 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cardinals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 63c | 2,890$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Reds | 51c | 2,661$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Reds | 60c | 2,658$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.06 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,234$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Reds | 50c | 2,144$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…c8c1backed Reds | 76c | 2,121$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cardinals | 49c | 2,114$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.88 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cardinals | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Reds | 53c | 2,021$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.75 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Reds | 54c | 1,918$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.2 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 25c | 1,673$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.71 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Reds | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Reds | 38c | 1,465$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 2c | 1,452$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked Reds | 69c | 1,323$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,287$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,129$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cardinals | 26c | 1,053$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.11 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Reds | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Reds | 53c | 961.46$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.89 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 52c | 960.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 53c | 940.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.7 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 913$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cardinals | 25c | 849.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 46c | 838$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 49c | 820.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 816.41$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 11c | 807.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 50c | 789$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Reds | 51c | 768$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Reds | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Cardinals | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Cardinals | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Cardinals | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Reds | 53c | 698.07$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.07 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 675.18$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.84 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cardinals | 48c | 599$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cardinals | 2c | 583.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 43c | 536.15$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Cardinals | 48c | 529.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 52c | 516.97$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.14 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 22c | 480$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Reds | 53c | 410$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 49c | 405$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Cardinals | 47c | 397.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 48c | 397.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Reds | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 368.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 48c | 344.63$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Reds | 34c | 340.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 33c | 336.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 49c | 290.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cardinals | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cardinals | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cardinals | 46c | 245$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked Reds | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.