MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758020d9ec7e7b2112f078cdc4a9eeae4d29570d1566a0d3e6526bd550898e05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 65,455$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,454.55 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 52,627$30,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,785.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…3c07backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 36,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,119.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 34,513$13,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,613.95 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 31,755$13,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,382.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 29,004$12,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,971.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 28,986$16,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,464.12 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 16,277$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 16,024$6,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 15,042$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…028cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 8,211$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 5,466$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 4,115$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,091$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.91 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,700$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 3,224$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.44 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 3,124$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,081$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,655$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 2,652$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.99 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,621$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.63 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 2,417$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 2,338$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.32 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 2,304$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,225$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,070$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.06 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.97 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.95 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,771$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,755$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.41 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,739$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.26 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,508$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,437$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,427$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.66 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,210$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.26 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,122$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.46 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,121$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 1,054$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 1,038$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 993.73$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 977.59$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 915.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 872.09$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 824.41$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 780.39$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 723.49$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 690.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 671.51$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 663.86$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 660.01$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 632$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 619.54$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 611.16$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 558.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 555.4$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 554.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 517.24$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 501.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…cfccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 488.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 400.44$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 399.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 382.34$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 328.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 326.78$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 320$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 261.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…9929backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 258.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 258$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 250.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 234.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.