Middle East · resolved market
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d101a806e6fceb79447da06d1a9466277ffb8d17d4fc348783fe068b9c7659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,379 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed No | 0c | 40,410$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…172abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked No | 65c | 3,523$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 79c | 2,271$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.67 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…db3fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,093$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 1,692$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…3255backed Yes | 76c | 1,222$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 24c | 871.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…5493backed No | 12c | 819.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 21c | 723.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 11c | 519$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 20c | 441.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 34c | 399.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked No | 29c | 348.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed No | 60c | 337$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…2defbacked No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 62c | 324.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 314.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…bd3fbacked No | 19c | 306.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed No | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 37c | 290.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.97 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…c28cbacked No | 35c | 286.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 42c | 279.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 60c | 276$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…573dbacked Yes | 21c | 250$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed No | 63c | 226$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…3fd1backed Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +92%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed No | 9c | 206$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…10f5backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 34c | 197.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 40c | 195$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Yes | 40c | 193$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 168.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 72c | 150.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed No | 20c | 149$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 56c | 143.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 13c | 142.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 24c | 141.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 7c | 136.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 21c | 134.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Yes | 38c | 128.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 58c | 122.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed No | 11c | 107.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 66c | 104.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…fb18backed No | 39c | 102.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…5490backed No | 67c | 100.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 19c | 100.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…6b17backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 10c | 99.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 42c | 98.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 97.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…d5b6backed No | 17c | 96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…d94abacked No | 34c | 87.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…9b00backed No | 67c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…0a05backed No | 62c | 76.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…ff0dbacked No | 28c | 76.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 30c | 74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 40c | 71.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…7c83backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9fbebacked No | 20c | 55.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 34c | 54.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…132dbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 50c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…973cbacked Yes | 37c | 44.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…8fdcbacked No | 65c | 44.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc64…c865backed No | 69c | 43.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed No | 35c | 41.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 38c | 37.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…1951backed Yes | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…178abacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 60c | 28.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 51c | 24.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 56c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 72c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…63c8backed Yes | 70c | 17.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eec…9a8cbacked Yes | 66c | 17.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…129bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?this page
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 11, 2026?Yes won
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?No won
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.