Tennis · resolved market
ITF Knokke-Heist: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Justina Mikulskyte
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee348101b2c4f1f5035654b59537f5454933c65f14aa443612f46f905dd2399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tilwith Di Girolamiof Tilwith Di Girolami, Justina Mikulskyte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 47c | 14,036$6,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,545.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 9,386$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 677.64$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 667.26$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.61 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 56c | 637.24$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.86 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 637.17$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.47 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 610.19$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 581.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.13 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 64c | 571.73$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.51 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 568.17$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 53c | 558.77$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 43c | 310.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 68c | 266.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Justina Mikulskyte | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justina Mikulskyte | 42c | 239.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Justina Mikulskyte | 42c | 190.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Justina Mikulskyte | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 36c | 98.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 45c | 84.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 58c | 77.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Justina Mikulskyte | 61c | 57.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 39c | 56.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 64c | 51.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 61c | 49.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Justina Mikulskyte | 45c | 49.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Justina Mikulskyte | 31c | 42.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 35c | 40.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 76c | 40.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tilwith Di Girolami | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 40c | 38.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Justina Mikulskyte | 38c | 38.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 54c | 31.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Justina Mikulskyte | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Justina Mikulskyte | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…b401backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 51c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Justina Mikulskyte | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed Tilwith Di Girolami | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.