TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Weather
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd22…2013backed No40c473.9$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4731454.1%170 W · 144 L+31.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes69c412.04$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.187945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes59c380.12$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.924,52526.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L+62.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a4…f148backed Yes51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.781,42934.5%493 W · 936 L-6.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes36c222.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31,42058.7%833 W · 587 L+69.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd212…5182backed No45c201.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3413551.1%69 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No56c194$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.925,63159.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L-111.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…9ac2backed No22c182.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No24c149.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.983,75561.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L-36.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes67c148.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.222839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes51c142.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.031,22733.9%416 W · 811 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9625…ec8ebacked No60c130$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.69145.1%41 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No52c125.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.317,1489.3%666 W · 6,482 L-1,105.8wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-75.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No48c124.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6712,17346.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L-42.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes79c120.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.962,07558.9%1,223 W · 852 L+102.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0b…55e1backed No10c112.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.562955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes79c111.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0711343.4%49 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No41c109.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0412,49819.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L-2,667.3wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66.8%equal weight26-0.21 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,53050.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L-48.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3838138.6%147 W · 234 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951c…d8c7backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4968335.4%242 W · 441 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759d…cc80backed No51c99.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5877851.9%404 W · 374 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91c…02debacked No52c95.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0a36backed No69c94.81$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.122,08651.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L-45.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed Yes45c94.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.498,95226.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L+120.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No23c88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.115,38956%3,017 W · 2,372 L-120.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked No37c80.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,27536.5%465 W · 810 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263d…fc4cbacked No65c79.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.231540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes59c77.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.914,98849.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L-155.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes45c76.19$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.885,18647.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L+66.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5948…2d49backed No20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155715.8%9 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebdb…5ac4backed No49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.385049.8%423 W · 427 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cc…9e01backed No49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.39752.6%51 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7510…6cb0backed Yes66c69.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.84141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f4a…f61bbacked No58c65.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9754547.7%260 W · 285 L-18.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed Yes37c64.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.648,16249.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L+269.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1f…535ebacked Yes49c60.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes80c60.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.14,34729.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L+19.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…40c0backed No49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4680050.1%401 W · 399 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No51c56.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8965965.4%431 W · 228 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b4…f2c6backed No50c55.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3646…ba5abacked Yes40c54.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8840741.3%168 W · 239 L+32.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x23d2…bc8ebacked No53c54.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes66c52.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8558358%338 W · 245 L-2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6671…e109backed Yes52c50.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55832.8%19 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0a…8f66backed No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…0a3fbacked No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.516148.4%78 W · 83 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x634d…4d02backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,42852.1%744 W · 684 L-21.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3118814.4%27 W · 161 L-14.7wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21d3…8c5fbacked No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.513351.1%68 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x326c…ef55backed No49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515345.1%69 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4125…868cbacked Yes67c49.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x340c…f130backed Yes62c47.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.076637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…de16backed Yes51c46.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+78.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc743…4cb7backed Yes59c46.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199848%47 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe422…4d64backed No43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352,06543.6%900 W · 1,165 L-11.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3e…b7aabacked Yes49c44.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes47c43.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.959,79944.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L+256.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6659…b7cabacked No53c43.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9593837.6%353 W · 585 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e92…ad5bbacked No50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0996…598dbacked No43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.248743.7%213 W · 274 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b1…0793backed No44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.643663.5%277 W · 159 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e6…9ac7backed No52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019753.8%106 W · 91 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2127756%155 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No36c36.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.246,59253.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L+400.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes48c36.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.139,49045.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L-278.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No53c35.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992,05057.4%1,177 W · 873 L+72.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5157…fdbcbacked No44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.353353.1%283 W · 250 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No34c31.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931,52552.6%802 W · 723 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Yes49c31.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1123958.2%139 W · 100 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcae…1ea8backed No53c31.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No49c31.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.441,12651.2%577 W · 549 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…8474backed No53c30.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.347156.3%40 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43,06553.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L-97.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0294…76a0backed No55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.515246.1%70 W · 82 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No60c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,19057.9%689 W · 501 L-5.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac0…ace0backed Yes35c28.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.837463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…866abacked No49c28.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.136243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc239…ebe8backed Yes50c28.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.391070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x497f…0331backed No53c27.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38e2…2909backed No67c27.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.483,47953%1,845 W · 1,634 L+72.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No57c26.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,55056.7%879 W · 671 L-83.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed No62c26.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2610,35437.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L+417.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked No48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249551.9%257 W · 238 L-25.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.254,54758.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L-107.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd85…7a3dbacked No53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251,05051.2%538 W · 512 L-99.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.512544.8%56 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No53c24.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.224,25765.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L+17.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No48c24.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.572,11859.1%1,251 W · 867 L+107.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e0…6392backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.445358.5%31 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0a…71dabacked Yes67c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5911343.4%49 W · 64 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ea…7367backed Yes56c22.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.741,89661.5%1,166 W · 730 L-5.9wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef85…51edbacked No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Yes53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa012…2af7backed Yes53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.46061.7%37 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x549c…100abacked Yes51c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6112438.7%48 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c8…f649backed No68c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1519947.7%95 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.