Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fe957722364a666418aabf0890efdc1c15b70ba98c4e70376855929333a1571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 40c | 473.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes | 69c | 412.04$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 59c | 380.12$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 36c | 222.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 45c | 201.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 194$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…9ac2backed No | 22c | 182.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 24c | 149.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 67c | 148.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 51c | 142.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 125.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 124.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 79c | 120.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed No | 10c | 112.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 79c | 111.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 109.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 51c | 99.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…02debacked No | 52c | 95.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 69c | 94.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 45c | 94.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 37c | 80.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…fc4cbacked No | 65c | 79.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 59c | 77.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 76.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 58c | 65.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 37c | 64.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…535ebacked Yes | 49c | 60.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 80c | 60.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 51c | 56.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…f2c6backed No | 50c | 55.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 40c | 54.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…bc8ebacked No | 53c | 54.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 66c | 52.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6671…e109backed Yes | 52c | 50.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 62c | 47.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…de16backed Yes | 51c | 46.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 59c | 46.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3e…b7aabacked Yes | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 47c | 43.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 53c | 43.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e92…ad5bbacked No | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 36.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 36.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 53c | 35.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 31.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 49c | 31.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 49c | 31.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 53c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…ace0backed Yes | 35c | 28.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 49c | 28.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…ebe8backed Yes | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…0331backed No | 53c | 27.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 67c | 27.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 57c | 26.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 26.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 48c | 24.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 56c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…51edbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…100abacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.