CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x255be4c6226d90b961e6f4865fba36ebe37857fbe23b2085f6e441b5c92c1fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Over | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 43c | 1,559$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.98 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 40c | 1,030$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.95 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 64c | 797.22$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 36c | 753.08$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.78 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 567.37$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 485$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 61c | 473$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 45c | 469$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa505…c985backed Over | 43c | 388.37$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over | 51c | 268.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 241.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 213.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Over | 48c | 199.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 43c | 157$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 149.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 115.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 51c | 86.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 52c | 86.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 51c | 86.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 35c | 77.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…1132backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 51c | 70.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 31c | 62.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 61.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Under | 52c | 51.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…58f4backed Under | 58c | 51.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 51.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 52c | 50.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 46.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 50c | 45.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0a…b7a2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Under | 43c | 34.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 29.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Over | 44c | 22.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 57c | 21.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 50c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 61c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2B8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)GamerLegion won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.