CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6e998edc457dd775fe00111e252c5c6845481f159aba46d064fd1a2aa5494d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of GamerLegion, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 2,665$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.55 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed B8 | 69c | 1,500$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.86 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 1,210$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed B8 | 72c | 798$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed B8 | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked B8 | 73c | 490.57$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed B8 | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GamerLegion | 29c | 357.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 345.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GamerLegion | 29c | 295.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked B8 | 72c | 277.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked B8 | 73c | 272.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed GamerLegion | 22c | 203.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked B8 | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed GamerLegion | 29c | 199.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed GamerLegion | 27c | 125.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 124.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed B8 | 57c | 106.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked B8 | 79c | 104.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked B8 | 74c | 101.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed B8 | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed GamerLegion | 26c | 67.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 72c | 64.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked GamerLegion | 28c | 63.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed B8 | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed GamerLegion | 29c | 37.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed B8 | 73c | 21.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2B8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)GamerLegion won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.