Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb64f7ece53c222d28116ff61591ef4ce96beae1567e50ac7b18b649c17f4f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.38 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 33c | 1,289$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.12 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 65c | 775$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.75 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 37c | 548.16$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.28 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 513.72$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 477.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 450.23$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.61 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…a9b9backed Yes | 70c | 435.07$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 20c | 403.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 397.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 45c | 393.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.59 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 378.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 26c | 362.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 349.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 49c | 326.7$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 43c | 285.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 67c | 269.7$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 264.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 42c | 262.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 20c | 259.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 66c | 256.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 33c | 245.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 240.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…24cabacked No | 71c | 225.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 34c | 217.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 213.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 202$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 201$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 200.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 66c | 199.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 45c | 198.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…559abacked No | 62c | 198.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 48c | 196$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 193.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 178.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 20c | 165.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…0c12backed Yes | 42c | 152.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 33c | 152.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 70c | 151.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 32c | 144.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 37c | 143.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 12c | 143.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 138.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…2305backed Yes | 20c | 138$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 135.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 27c | 132$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 26c | 126.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 65c | 124$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 33c | 120.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 33c | 120.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 47c | 119.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 51c | 112.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed No | 59c | 110.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…94e5backed No | 66c | 109.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 36c | 109$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 15c | 109$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 25c | 107.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 66c | 106.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 45c | 105.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 28c | 104.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 103.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 19c | 102.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…9300backed Yes | 45c | 93.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 25c | 92.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 30c | 91.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 24c | 91.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 88.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 34c | 84.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 36c | 83.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 39c | 81.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 66c | 80.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked Yes | 18c | 79.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 48c | 78.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…ddf5backed Yes | 69c | 72.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 69.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 66.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…edf6backed Yes | 35c | 65.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…2512backed No | 77c | 65.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 61c | 65.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 63.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 62.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 62.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 53c | 61.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 60.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 64c | 60.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…bce9backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 44c | 59.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 43c | 59.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…d8d4backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 65c | 58.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 35c | 57.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 59c | 57.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…bd37backed Yes | 45c | 56.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.