La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc73621534d558a0f5a80af7cd7fff910483d6fa932d5d64ba1fb59c19d7160ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 4,335$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 2,185$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.61 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 54c | 2,139$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.41 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,614$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.01 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 38c | 1,385$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 29c | 927.01$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.24 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 760.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.65 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 33c | 621.74$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 65c | 573.92$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 544.16$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.27 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 426.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 37c | 411.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 63c | 374.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 48c | 338.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 38c | 328.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 291.69$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 21c | 291.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 285.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 28c | 277.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 262.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…5d2dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 194.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Yes | 38c | 190.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 47c | 150.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 150.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…58f5backed No | 63c | 121.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 114.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 64c | 107.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 56c | 105.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…f358backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 42c | 93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 84.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked No | 63c | 67.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 62c | 63.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 27c | 62.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed No | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 70c | 53.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…cb37backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 45.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 42.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 32c | 38.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 39c | 37.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Yes | 64c | 36.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…b1fabacked Yes | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 28.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 26.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 50c | 26.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 38c | 26.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 59c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 62c | 16.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 75c | 16.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 63c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…db9fbacked Yes | 74c | 14.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.