La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb1c71c086512cf2944f923668db7a8d4b6ba4f4d0ffa7d1a62a4ac341afa42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,107 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 12,827$8,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.96 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 5,338$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.38 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 30c | 3,987$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…f358backed Yes | 50c | 1,621$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 23c | 1,250$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 853.56$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 57c | 608.58$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 544.2$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 2c | 543$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 29c | 523.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 354.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 17c | 318$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 296.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 17c | 273.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Yes | 31c | 269$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 255.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 72c | 233.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 31c | 225.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 14c | 216.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.27 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 30c | 192.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 176.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 160.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 157$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Yes | 31c | 142.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Yes | 31c | 133.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 30c | 128.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 116$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 25c | 105.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 84.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 30c | 67.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…4533backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 61.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…98b9backed No | 70c | 60.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 30c | 56.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 30c | 56.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Yes | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 70c | 48.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 44.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 70c | 42.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 31c | 41.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 46c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 30c | 33.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 68c | 31.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 74c | 27.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 70c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 20.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 72c | 17.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 70c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.