La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23cf1e0da2ad10a48329977ddb4929eaf4c399bc6e17a356eee02eb1ce1f2f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 4,560$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 1,714$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 1,055$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.23 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 6c | 821.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 3c | 784.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 5c | 541$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 513.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.67 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 4c | 498.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 33c | 377.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 244.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed No | 68c | 236.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 77c | 76.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 72.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 68c | 69.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 57.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 33c | 51.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 22c | 48.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 32c | 34.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 24.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Yes | 52c | 20.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.