World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ce02f47587a60aeeb5fa873fc438f809db217f2e3748c2a7039ba6bb352045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 47c | 843.27$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.73 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked No | 10c | 834.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 47c | 548.79$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.29 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 54c | 484.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 43c | 468.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 423.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 298.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 285.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 279$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 269.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 56c | 260.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 29c | 248.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 247.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 246.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 207.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…ec4fbacked Yes | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 55c | 197.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 186.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 50c | 181.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 24c | 175.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 174.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 174.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 62c | 153.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 68c | 147.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 141.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed No | 54c | 140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 139.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 17c | 138.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 116.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 80c | 108.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 52c | 100.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…4e32backed Yes | 71c | 98.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 53c | 93.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 52c | 86.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 29c | 84.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 52c | 83.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 59c | 80.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 46c | 75.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 74.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 64c | 70.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 66c | 67.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 62c | 67.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 61.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 60.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 69c | 57.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 40c | 55.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…f36fbacked No | 35c | 54.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…6d6ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 38c | 52.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe38…6f8ebacked Yes | 37c | 51.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 51.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 57c | 50.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 34c | 50.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 48.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 36c | 47.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 46.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 67c | 44.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 68c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…8793backed Yes | 72c | 41.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 41.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 50c | 40.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 30c | 38.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 38.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce46…a9afbacked No | 68c | 37.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 37.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 66c | 36.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…8b26backed Yes | 56c | 35.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 51c | 33.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 69c | 31.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 31.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 58c | 31.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…a4bebacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…417fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 42c | 30.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 69c | 30.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 51c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.