World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e2a1c208e35182c39aa4fca46fa1be23034f348816137732f7a4f09e058c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479d…9cc1backed Yes | 0c | 11,702$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 26c | 509.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 35c | 504.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 35c | 501.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 448.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Yes | 25c | 445.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 32c | 405.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 25c | 399.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 25c | 393.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 22c | 299.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 6c | 293.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 285.8$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 16c | 232.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 6c | 202.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 202$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 72c | 194.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 176.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 9c | 167.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 161$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 155.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 152$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 28c | 146.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…28d5backed No | 70c | 143.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…0dadbacked No | 71c | 140.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 126.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 24c | 120.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 21c | 114.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 75c | 113.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 75c | 112.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 107.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 74c | 107.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 78c | 105.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 103.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 103.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 15c | 100.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 67c | 97.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 22c | 95.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 18c | 90.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 28c | 89.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 86.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 68c | 82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 20c | 81.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 75c | 80.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 30c | 79.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 25c | 78.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 75c | 77.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 13c | 77.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 71.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 22c | 70.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 28c | 70.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed No | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 18c | 65.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 22c | 59.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 77c | 57.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 56.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 55.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 76c | 52.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 51.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…ca4abacked No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…c353backed Yes | 21c | 49.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 77c | 49.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 69c | 47.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 74c | 39.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 67c | 34.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…8136backed Yes | 34c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 32.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 79c | 31.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…4753backed No | 75c | 30.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…b105backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed No | 72c | 29.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 51c | 29.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 62c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 75c | 28.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed No | 80c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d4…7cf4backed No | 79c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.