TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xebab…8793

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$4.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$6.39
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$5.97
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$14.27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+50%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$9.1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$20.68
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$8.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.