Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b8e9740914c2638400b614d0d19dd3f7bf1b63feb1d5775d8a8583a0b7884d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 59c | 384.78$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 375.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 58c | 302.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 40c | 287.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 41c | 270.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 67c | 249.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 38c | 237.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 41c | 215$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 62c | 148.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 41c | 145.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 142.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 141$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 43c | 122.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 47c | 122.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 53c | 117.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 114.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…cfd4backed No | 49c | 105.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 47c | 104.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 61c | 103$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…fdf1backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…fc29backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 72c | 77.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 53c | 76.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 43c | 68.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 65.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 39c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 24c | 61.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed No | 51c | 56.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 55.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 38c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86cc…f46ebacked No | 40c | 52.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…0edebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…67b0backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 44c | 45.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…e184backed Yes | 62c | 43.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 42c | 43.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3d…09a6backed No | 56c | 43.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 39c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…52a1backed Yes | 74c | 40.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…714ebacked No | 56c | 38.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 61c | 37.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 54c | 36.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 54c | 35.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 60c | 34.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…518dbacked Yes | 50c | 34.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…3277backed Yes | 47c | 33.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 44c | 32.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…ce1cbacked Yes | 47c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…9b1bbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 71c | 29.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 49c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…8793backed Yes | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 44c | 28.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…db13backed No | 52c | 27.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 51c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…6c00backed No | 55c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 47c | 25.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…a4bebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 53c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 60c | 21.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 55c | 20.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…cc23backed Yes | 52c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 20.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 52c | 20.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…dc27backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +210%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 61c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…1ae0backed No | 55c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 57c | 18.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…dc92backed No | 56c | 18.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…05e4backed Yes | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.