Tennis · resolved market
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef9dbee7ccd64c9580de5a6e5deb0db96aedc88f5e626fa777adbac7b2ef307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 2,726$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.59 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 2,116$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.95 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 10c | 924.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Under | 48c | 880$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 441 | 51.9%229 W · 212 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 53c | 759.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 670.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 653.93$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 582.93$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 471.69$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 70c | 415.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 743 | 43.7%325 W · 418 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 48c | 405.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 37c | 222.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 52c | 195.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 51c | 192.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Over | 52c | 133.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…4803backed Over | 51c | 74.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 48c | 69.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 39c | 66.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…5c4dbacked Under | 49c | 57.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Over | 52c | 53.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 52c | 53.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 75c | 47.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…6d33backed Over | 52c | 45.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…d1aabacked Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 30c | 41.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 38.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Over | 51c | 35.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 29.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 52c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Over | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…c2d4backed Over | 56c | 23.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…6043backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Over | 65c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Anna Kalinskaya vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja ChwalinskaMaja Chwalinska won
- Set 1 Winner: Kalinskaya vs ChwalinskaChwalinska won
- Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)Chwalinska won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.