TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Kalinskaya vs Chwalinska

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chwalinskaof Kalinskaya, Chwalinska
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0ac…7deebacked Chwalinska72c5,039$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.1833253.6%178 W · 154 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Kalinskaya51c1,557$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.3322842.5%97 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Chwalinska42c1,428$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.219744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Kalinskaya55c1,081$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.2174743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Chwalinska74c1,000$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.741758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Chwalinska45c999.99$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.743638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Kalinskaya15c999.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.330827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Chwalinska53c981.84$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.519,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kalinskaya35c933.81$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0358048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chwalinska57c867.9$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.586,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Kalinskaya15c635.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2321524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc90…6c55backed Kalinskaya56c626.55$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.653063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Kalinskaya55c555.5$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6336657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Kalinskaya21c537.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9154634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kalinskaya24c505.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.144,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccf…aa10backed Chwalinska59c503.87$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.592161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Chwalinska46c499.57$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a03…0b5ebacked Chwalinska44c437.31$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7538…6ca6backed Chwalinska46c415.56$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.722948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Kalinskaya57c410.86$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Kalinskaya56c401.13$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8914146.1%65 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chwalinska68c385.35$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.562,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Kalinskaya58c345.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Kalinskaya44c337.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Kalinskaya53c330.79$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.321030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Chwalinska70c314.81$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3924259.9%145 W · 97 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Chwalinska68c299.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8637230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Kalinskaya41c258$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.722,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Kalinskaya38c250.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.555,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Chwalinska63c241.68$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.653,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Chwalinska43c224.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.727,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Chwalinska54c219.41$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.412560%15 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Chwalinska44c218.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.897,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a2…8613backed Chwalinska46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Kalinskaya41c217.12$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2736757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Kalinskaya33c212.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706214.5%9 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Chwalinska47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7713928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kalinskaya51c201.27$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.624,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Chwalinska55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe409…561ebacked Kalinskaya60c197.55$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f3…2e5abacked Kalinskaya47c189.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Chwalinska43c185.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.054341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Kalinskaya27c179.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Kalinskaya56c173.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Kalinskaya58c164.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.291,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Kalinskaya64c153.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.873438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Chwalinska45c151.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.112,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed Chwalinska43c147.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.292638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Chwalinska44c142$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.527,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Chwalinska46c130.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0863252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x372a…eb59backed Kalinskaya44c126.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb896…ac39backed Chwalinska43c126.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Chwalinska44c115$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.415745.9%72 W · 85 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Kalinskaya35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Chwalinska42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6783447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Kalinskaya41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016761.1%102 W · 65 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Chwalinska51c97.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2311064.5%71 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Kalinskaya41c96.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6417152.6%90 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Kalinskaya50c88.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.661,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Chwalinska46c80.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.671450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kalinskaya40c73.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.476,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Kalinskaya49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbb…0538backed Chwalinska44c62.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+66.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Chwalinska59c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4284640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Chwalinska68c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8792138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b2…50cabacked Kalinskaya36c54.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Kalinskaya42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.325242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Kalinskaya44c42.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.633953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a4…dbc9backed Chwalinska43c41.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.685040%20 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Kalinskaya37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6934729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc061…a297backed Kalinskaya46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Chwalinska46c38.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chwalinska56c38.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.581,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xb772…ed49backed Kalinskaya56c35.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.114337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Kalinskaya42c34.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Chwalinska74c34.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Chwalinska43c29.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kalinskaya50c27.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6374346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kalinskaya50c24.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Chwalinska55c22.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Kalinskaya58c21.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2344051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Kalinskaya51c20.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac6…9460backed Kalinskaya55c19.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+66%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.