World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca4632b85bfcf708f808f65e0a496c86bed6577847f222348ad435816694257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 29c | 747.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 77c | 462.12$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 43c | 399.9$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 369.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 345.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 35c | 321$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 288.8$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 37c | 222.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 198.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 180.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 57c | 149.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 41c | 148$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 42c | 135.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 60c | 132.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…e7f5backed Yes | 9c | 126.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 122.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 116.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 43c | 116.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 42c | 104.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 19c | 103.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 57c | 97.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 41c | 93.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed No | 74c | 93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…ecd4backed Yes | 32c | 88.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 85.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 36c | 79.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 72.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 54c | 71.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 46c | 69.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 57c | 68.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Yes | 40c | 67.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 45c | 67.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…84afbacked Yes | 64c | 62.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 70c | 61.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed Yes | 41c | 60.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 60c | 58.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…f36fbacked Yes | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…ff17backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…9235backed Yes | 32c | 50.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 41c | 50.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…c1b2backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 49.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 40c | 49.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 53c | 47.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 37c | 44.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2427backed Yes | 44c | 43.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 74c | 36.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 64c | 36.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 41c | 35.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 54c | 35.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 59c | 35.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 63c | 33.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d0b1backed No | 63c | 33.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 41c | 33.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 75c | 32.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 57c | 32.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 31.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 43c | 31.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 57c | 30.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 48c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 57c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 43c | 28.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 28.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…2d4bbacked No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 48c | 26.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 60c | 26.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 58c | 25.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 56c | 25.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 60c | 25.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…59ddbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 43c | 24.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.