World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8893d9980885553e26314392063f85f84e24a8db86afbd357cfd74a4504583d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 65c | 1,120$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.19 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 579.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 18c | 421.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 31c | 392.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 41c | 374.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 335.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 296.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 15c | 292.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 37c | 262.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed No | 9c | 235.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 67c | 191.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 55c | 169$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 38c | 167.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 19c | 158$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 33c | 154.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 46c | 148.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 69c | 123.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 42c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 39c | 117.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 33c | 111.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 32c | 108.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 35c | 107$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 35c | 105.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 39c | 102.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…11f8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 23c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 94.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 46c | 93.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 50c | 89.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 39c | 89.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 28c | 89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 18c | 88.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 64c | 87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 48c | 77.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2427backed Yes | 41c | 76.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 32c | 75.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 72.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 34c | 68.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 52c | 63.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 66c | 62.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 62.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 33c | 60.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…ff17backed Yes | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 33c | 55.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 54.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 53.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 36c | 52.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 50.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 26c | 47.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 65c | 46.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2318…bbbfbacked Yes | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 45c | 40.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 32c | 40.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…c0c1backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 68c | 39.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 64c | 39.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…2d4bbacked No | 32c | 38.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 38.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 37c | 36.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 68c | 36.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 30c | 33.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 33.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Yes | 37c | 32.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 32.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 71c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 68c | 27.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 52c | 25.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 66c | 25.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 65c | 22.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 57c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…f2d4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 69c | 19.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 73c | 19.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 18.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 74c | 18.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 70c | 18.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.