Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51779d99629c9cc720304aa01d95fccb16fd8cc5a626fd1abb55c12ba5eb5e1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,041$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…a73bbacked Yes | 5c | 997.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 742.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 678.83$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 16c | 670.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…c14fbacked Yes | 12c | 659.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 11c | 653.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 530$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 31c | 508.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 487.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.67 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 3c | 453.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 36c | 444.06$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 75c | 408.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 33c | 388.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 74c | 382.61$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 370.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…1cefbacked Yes | 4c | 356.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 315.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 290.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 31c | 282.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 37c | 271.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 38c | 268.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 34c | 251$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 11c | 241.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…33fdbacked Yes | 36c | 230.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 308 | 32.5%100 W · 208 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 6c | 218.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 28c | 209.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 32c | 191.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 75c | 187.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 174.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 171.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 30c | 169.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 167.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 19c | 159.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 31c | 154.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 69c | 150.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 9c | 147.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93c…7385backed Yes | 35c | 142.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 129.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 128.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 31c | 126.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 120.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 64c | 117.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 113.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 69c | 108.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 106.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 69c | 105.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 69c | 105.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 79c | 105.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 18c | 104.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 66c | 102.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 102.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 66c | 99.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 32c | 98.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 41c | 96.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 94.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 33c | 90.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 16c | 90.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 35c | 85.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 54c | 83.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 82.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…b207backed Yes | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…5c4abacked Yes | 33c | 78.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc98backed No | 64c | 78.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 66c | 76.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 30c | 75.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 33c | 75.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 56c | 73.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 35c | 71.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 30c | 70.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 68.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 66.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 66c | 64.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 34c | 64.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 33c | 62.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1790backed Yes | 33c | 60.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…f05bbacked Yes | 34c | 60.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 51c | 60.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…602dbacked Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 39c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 64c | 54.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 63c | 54.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 54.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…b7f7backed Yes | 40c | 50.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 41c | 50.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 42c | 50.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 39c | 50.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.