Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de7c9cc9c4d1dac5172a1841ff943b7e93cfc4351fdbe4957af1cb03586d2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chwalinskaof Shnaider, Chwalinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Chwalinska | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.97 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Chwalinska | 61c | 4,729$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.36 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Shnaider | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chwalinska | 62c | 2,500$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.39 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Chwalinska | 59c | 2,159$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.37 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Shnaider | 40c | 1,973$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.09 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Shnaider | 40c | 1,602$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.66 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Shnaider | 41c | 1,490$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Shnaider | 1c | 1,199$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Chwalinska | 60c | 1,125$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Shnaider | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Shnaider | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Shnaider | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Shnaider | 38c | 933.19$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.61 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Shnaider | 38c | 903.04$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.16 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Chwalinska | 59c | 863.04$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.85 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Chwalinska | 62c | 840.32$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…1b16backed Chwalinska | 60c | 710$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Shnaider | 41c | 682.93$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chwalinska | 63c | 578.89$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chwalinska | 60c | 562.65$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Chwalinska | 61c | 507.56$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.58 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Shnaider | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Shnaider | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Chwalinska | 59c | 482.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Shnaider | 41c | 479.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Shnaider | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdc…c6abbacked Shnaider | 36c | 400$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Shnaider | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Shnaider | 41c | 353.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Chwalinska | 62c | 351.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Chwalinska | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Chwalinska | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 307.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…5e3dbacked Shnaider | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Shnaider | 41c | 242.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Shnaider | 41c | 222$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Chwalinska | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chwalinska | 63c | 200.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a848backed Chwalinska | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Chwalinska | 62c | 177.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Chwalinska | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Chwalinska | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Shnaider | 27c | 144.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Shnaider | 35c | 123.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Shnaider | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Shnaider | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Shnaider | 41c | 106.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Shnaider | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Chwalinska | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Chwalinska | 74c | 96.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Shnaider | 40c | 88.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Chwalinska | 60c | 87.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Shnaider | 39c | 62.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0cadbacked Shnaider | 41c | 60.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Shnaider | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Shnaider | 43c | 53.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Chwalinska | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Shnaider | 41c | 42.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed Shnaider | 36c | 38.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Chwalinska | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Shnaider | 35c | 36.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…456cbacked Chwalinska | 60c | 34.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Chwalinska | 68c | 33.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Chwalinska | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Shnaider | 41c | 31.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Chwalinska | 59c | 26.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Shnaider | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…f4dcbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Chwalinska | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed Shnaider | 41c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Chwalinska | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…a9aabacked Chwalinska | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)this page
- Diana Shnaider vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja ChwalinskaMaja Chwalinska won
- Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs ChwalinskaChwalinska won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.