TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,091 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd1f…9136backed Over46c869.57$400 inWon+$469.579751.5%50 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c869.57$470 inLost-$469.577,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over43c104.65$45 inWon+$59.6512846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under57c73.02$42 inLost-$41.6223945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…b5a8backed Under56c50.97$29 inLost-$28.547342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under57c50.04$29 inLost-$28.5251545.8%236 W · 279 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over44c35.29$16 inWon+$19.761,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.