Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs Chwalinska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x313c547a67c816129e44c08faa2e621e95d5493974ce8c22d6b1c3c6aa7f07c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chwalinskaof Shnaider, Chwalinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Shnaider | 63c | 3,318$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.7 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shnaider | 24c | 2,346$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.08 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Shnaider | 26c | 967.84$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Shnaider | 51c | 673.87$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shnaider | 21c | 653.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Chwalinska | 46c | 638.48$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Chwalinska | 42c | 500.2$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Chwalinska | 46c | 497.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.65 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chwalinska | 45c | 475.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shnaider | 37c | 459.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Chwalinska | 41c | 445.76$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chwalinska | 40c | 441.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Shnaider | 61c | 439.18$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Shnaider | 62c | 434.24$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.24 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Shnaider | 20c | 412.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Shnaider | 40c | 368.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 139 | 28.1%39 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Chwalinska | 41c | 271.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shnaider | 44c | 262.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…ced8backed Shnaider | 60c | 239.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Chwalinska | 43c | 232.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Shnaider | 57c | 229.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Chwalinska | 40c | 229$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…9dbabacked Chwalinska | 45c | 216.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Shnaider | 43c | 215.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Shnaider | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…043cbacked Shnaider | 59c | 177.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Shnaider | 39c | 171.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Chwalinska | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Shnaider | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shnaider | 58c | 156.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shnaider | 39c | 148.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…b1a2backed Chwalinska | 37c | 136.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Chwalinska | 54c | 135$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Shnaider | 60c | 134.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Shnaider | 23c | 130.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Shnaider | 54c | 128.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Shnaider | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Chwalinska | 49c | 104.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Shnaider | 46c | 103.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…22e9backed Shnaider | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Shnaider | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Chwalinska | 51c | 97.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Shnaider | 58c | 85.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…adaebacked Shnaider | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Shnaider | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Shnaider | 19c | 73.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | -37.3wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 22-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Chwalinska | 52c | 65.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…50cabacked Chwalinska | 24c | 62.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Shnaider | 45c | 61.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chwalinska | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chwalinska | 40c | 53.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…be44backed Shnaider | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shnaider | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shnaider | 57c | 49.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Shnaider | 56c | 46.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chwalinska | 54c | 38.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Chwalinska | 47c | 34.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shnaider | 53c | 33.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shnaider | 43c | 31.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Chwalinska | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…9460backed Shnaider | 43c | 24.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Chwalinska | 49c | 23.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…24adbacked Shnaider | 64c | 20.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs Chwalinskathis page
- Diana Shnaider vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja ChwalinskaMaja Chwalinska won
- Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)Chwalinska won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.