Tennis · resolved market
Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc35bb051698bfe54ec9d263463a12b572db4f7c10d549fbd18208f05afaba28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 51c | 987.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.05 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Under | 50c | 788$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 690.33$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 49c | 449.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 338.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.74 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 50c | 324.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 71.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Under | 50c | 69.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 46.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 45.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 45.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…c88fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 50c | 33.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…095fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Diana Shnaider vs. Maja Chwalinska: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja ChwalinskaMaja Chwalinska won
- Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs ChwalinskaChwalinska won
- Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)Chwalinska won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.