World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6000439b4d75d9226dc71c626176455039437c724df6579bfc76f1e7b53efe61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 49c | 433.82$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 54c | 407.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 59c | 388.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 49c | 386.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 47c | 348.07$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 45c | 333.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8db…458dbacked Yes | 59c | 316.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 294.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 55c | 283.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 268.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 77c | 251.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 48c | 233$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 225.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 55c | 225.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 33c | 219.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 40c | 217.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 67c | 217.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 54c | 203.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 43c | 200.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 44c | 196.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 78c | 192$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 72c | 166.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 60c | 162.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 159.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 37c | 158.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 67c | 157.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 40c | 156.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 155.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 154$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 49c | 146.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 22c | 143.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 77c | 136.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 50c | 127.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 55c | 124.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 41c | 115.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 50c | 105.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 33c | 105.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…11f8backed Yes | 44c | 101.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 79c | 101.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 56c | 98.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 45c | 97.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 42c | 94.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 62c | 90.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 88.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 53c | 82.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 59c | 79.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 76.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 51c | 75.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 70c | 71.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 50c | 69.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 61c | 69.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 60c | 67.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 65.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 52c | 64.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 35c | 63.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…b04cbacked Yes | 42c | 62.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f81…7ce2backed No | 44c | 60.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 34c | 59.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 50c | 59.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 58c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 44c | 57.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 48c | 56.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 47c | 56.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 34c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 28c | 54.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 41c | 54.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 41c | 51.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 50.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 59c | 50.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 21c | 50.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…2bd6backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 50c | 49.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 48.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 48.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 72c | 46.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 39c | 46.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 28c | 44.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 36c | 44.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…a867backed Yes | 34c | 43.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…c08fbacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…b94cbacked Yes | 40c | 41.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 41c | 40.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 25c | 40.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…1006backed Yes | 44c | 40.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 45c | 40.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 58c | 39.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 38.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked No | 61c | 37.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 57c | 37.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.